Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Xavier Hutchinson? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Xavier Hutchinson
- Market projects
- 6.5
- fantasy pts
- Market projects
- 6.1
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 58%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 19%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Xavier Hutchinson in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 6.5 points and Xavier Hutchinson at 6.1, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Brian Thomas Jr. at 24.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (14, 14 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 6.1 fantasy points for Xavier Hutchinson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Xavier Hutchinson at 23.5 receiving yards, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (4 and 6 market sources).
That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 0.4 points ahead of Xavier Hutchinson on the market projections.
Injury status
Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.
Xavier Hutchinson is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Xavier Hutchinson played 58 percent of HOU snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.
Xavier Hutchinson, Week 1 against BUF: 44 of 79 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards.
Xavier Hutchinson, Week 2 against CIN: 65 of 80 snaps, 9 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.
Xavier Hutchinson, Week 3 against IND: 29 of 54 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 51 yards.
Xavier Hutchinson, Week 4 against DAL: 17 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 46 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games for HOU and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.
He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 282 air yards.
He was on the field for 57 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR48 · JAX · bye 7
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 125
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
WR57 · HOU · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 0-4
- Overall rank
- 149
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 11
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board24
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 10 and tier 11
- Board size219 draftable players
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