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Start Brock Purdy or Geno Smith? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Brock Purdy over Geno Smith

Market projects
16.8
fantasy pts
Snap share
97%
Through Week 4
Market projects
14.6
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Brock Purdy over Geno Smith in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Brock Purdy at 16.8 points and Geno Smith at 14.6, a gap of 2.2.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Brock Purdy at 226.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 21.5 rushing yards, with a 15% chance to score a touchdown (13, 16, 11 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Geno Smith at 206.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (12, 16, 14 and 14 market sources).

That puts Brock Purdy 2.2 points ahead of Geno Smith on the market projections.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Brock Purdy played 97 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 122 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 1 against LAR: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 205 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 2 against MIA: 44 of 52 snaps, 20 of 22 passes for 287 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 3 against ARI: 54 of 54 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 35 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Through Week 4, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 136 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 1 against TEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB11 · SF · bye unlisted

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Overall rank
79
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

QB24 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
118
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board39
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 6
  • Board size258 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board