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Start Bo Nix or Geno Smith? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Bo Nix over Geno Smith

Start

Bo Nix

QB

Market projects
16.4
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Market projects
14.6
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Bo Nix over Geno Smith in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 16.4 points and Geno Smith at 14.6, a gap of 1.8.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.4 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Bo Nix at 220.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 14.5 rushing yards, with a 20% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 13 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Geno Smith at 206.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (12, 16, 14 and 14 market sources).

That puts Bo Nix 1.8 points ahead of Geno Smith on the market projections.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 143 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 1 against KC: 51 of 51 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 2 against JAX: 62 of 62 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Through Week 4, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 136 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 1 against TEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB14 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 1-3

Overall rank
94
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

QB24 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
118
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board24
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 6
  • Board size258 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board