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Start Woody Marks or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Woody Marks over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Wrong: 8.2 to 9.5
Start

Woody Marks

RB · final

Market projected
8.4
pre-game
Snap share
44%
Week 4
Target share
4%
Week 4
Scored
8.2
PPR pts
Sit

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · final

Market projected
5.6
pre-game
Scored
9.5
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start Woody Marks over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Woody Marks at 8.4 points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 5.6, a gap of 2.7. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.4 fantasy points for Woody Marks, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Woody Marks at 33.5 rushing yards and 8.5 receiving yards, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (3, 3 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 5.6 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market gives Chris Rodriguez Jr. a 27% chance to score a touchdown (11 market sources).

That puts Woody Marks 2.7 points ahead of Chris Rodriguez Jr. on the market projections.

Injury status

Woody Marks was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Woody Marks played 46 percent of HOU snaps, took 31 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

Woody Marks, Week 1 against BUF: 40 of 79 snaps, 9 carries for 42 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards.

Woody Marks, Week 2 against CIN: 38 of 80 snaps, 8 carries for 8 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 27 yards.

Woody Marks, Week 3 against IND: 20 of 54 snaps, 5 carries for 15 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Woody Marks played 16 games for HOU and scored 151.1 PPR points, 9.4 a game, finishing RB29.

He ran 196 times for 703 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 36 targets for 208 yards.

He was on the field for 53 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Woody Marks scored 8.2 PPR points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. scored 9.5.

The call was wrong: Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscored Woody Marks by 1.3.

Woody Marks finished 0.2 points below the 8.4 the market projected.

Woody Marks, Week 4 against DAL: 24 of 55 snaps, 6 carries for 22 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 8.2 PPR points.

Woody Marks finished as the week's RB34 in PPR scoring.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished 3.9 points above the 5.6 the market projected.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB36 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
127
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

Ranked behind

RB43 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
167
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
14

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board40
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 11 and tier 14
  • Board size243 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

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