Start C.J. Stroud or Tyson Bagent? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start C.J. Stroud over Tyson Bagent in Week 5.

Market-based projections have C.J. Stroud at 16.6 points and Tyson Bagent at 15.9, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for C.J. Stroud, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has C.J. Stroud at 240.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (11, 11, 9 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.9 fantasy points for Tyson Bagent, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Tyson Bagent at 218.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns, 0.5 interceptions and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 14% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 3, 5 and 15 market sources).

That puts C.J. Stroud 0.6 points ahead of Tyson Bagent on the market projections.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Tyson Bagent is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 166 times and threw an average of 10.3 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 1 against BUF: 79 of 79 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 274 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 15 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 2 against CIN: 80 of 80 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 353 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 29 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 3 against IND: 54 of 54 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 167 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 4 against DAL: 55 of 55 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Through Week 4, Tyson Bagent played 62 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 45 times and threw an average of 6.8 air yards per attempt.

Tyson Bagent, Week 2 against MIN: 10 of 74 snaps, 5 of 8 passes for 54 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Tyson Bagent, Week 4 against NYJ: 93 of 93 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyson Bagent played 3 games for CHI and scored 2.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing QB67.

He completed 3 of 4 passes for 47 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 2 times for 7 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start C.J. Stroud over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Bo Nix.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Brock Purdy.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Tyson Bagent.
• Start Bo Nix over Tyson Bagent.
• Start Brock Purdy over Tyson Bagent.