Start Josh Allen or Dak Prescott? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Josh Allen over Dak Prescott in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 22.8 points and Dak Prescott at 21.8, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 22.8 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Josh Allen at 244.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 36.5 rushing yards, with a 53% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 13 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 21.8 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Dak Prescott at 265.5 passing yards, 2.5 passing touchdowns and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 15% chance to score a touchdown (16, 18, 16 and 17 market sources).

That puts Josh Allen 1.1 points ahead of Dak Prescott on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF visit LAR on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAR allowed 16.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 154 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against LAR, with 0.8 interceptions.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 136 times and threw an average of 9.8 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 1 against HOU: 58 of 58 snaps, 20 of 29 passes for 334 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 2 against DET: 74 of 74 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 11 carries for 72 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 3 against LAC: 66 of 66 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 7 carries for 23 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.

Through Week 4, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 167 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 1 against NYG: 58 of 58 snaps, 22 of 34 passes for 175 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 2 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 26 of 31 passes for 279 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 26 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 3 against BAL: 74 of 74 snaps, 25 of 40 passes for 276 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 4 against HOU: 78 of 78 snaps, 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Josh Allen over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Josh Allen over Deshaun Watson.
• Start Josh Allen over Jacoby Brissett.
• Start Dak Prescott over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Dak Prescott over Bo Nix.
• Start Dak Prescott over C.J. Stroud.