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Start Josh Allen or Aaron Rodgers? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Josh Allen over Aaron Rodgers

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · at LAR

Market projects
22.8
fantasy pts
LAR D vs QB
16.3
13th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Market projects
16.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
99%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Josh Allen over Aaron Rodgers in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 22.8 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.3, a gap of 6.6. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.3 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Aaron Rodgers at 224.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 9% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 22.8 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Josh Allen at 244.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 36.5 rushing yards, with a 53% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 13 and 14 market sources).

That puts Josh Allen 6.6 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF visit LAR on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAR allowed 16.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 154 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against LAR, with 0.8 interceptions.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Aaron Rodgers played 99 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 167 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Through Week 4, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 136 times and threw an average of 9.8 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 1 against HOU: 58 of 58 snaps, 20 of 29 passes for 334 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 2 against DET: 74 of 74 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 11 carries for 72 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 3 against LAC: 66 of 66 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 7 carries for 23 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB1 · BUF · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 6-0

Overall rank
24
Draft pick
ADP 1
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB16 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
95
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board71
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 6
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board