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Start Davante Adams or Josh Downs? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Davante Adams over Josh Downs

Market projects
14.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
76%
Through Week 4
Target share
24%
Through Week 4
Market projects
13.4
fantasy pts
Snap share
79%
Through Week 4
Target share
23%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Davante Adams over Josh Downs in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Davante Adams at 14.7 points and Josh Downs at 13.4, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for Davante Adams, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Davante Adams at 62.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 49% chance to score a touchdown (11, 13 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 13.4 fantasy points for Josh Downs, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Josh Downs at 58.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (12, 10 and 14 market sources).

That puts Davante Adams 1.4 points ahead of Josh Downs on the market projections.

Injury status

Davante Adams is not on the injury report.

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Davante Adams played 76 percent of LAR snaps, drew 24 percent of the targets, earned 41 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Davante Adams, Week 1 against SF: 33 of 61 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Davante Adams, Week 2 against NYG: 40 of 62 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 195 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Davante Adams, Week 3 against DEN: 71 of 86 snaps, 13 targets and 7 catches for 137 yards.

Davante Adams, Week 4 against PHI: 80 of 84 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards.

Through Week 4, Josh Downs played 79 percent of IND snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 36 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 1 against BAL: 48 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 37 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 2 against KC: 54 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 72 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 3 against HOU: 48 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 5 catches for 77 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 4 against WAS: 51 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Davante Adams played 14 games for LAR and scored 222.9 PPR points, 15.9 a game, finishing WR9.

He caught 60 of 114 targets for 789 yards and 14 touchdowns, with 31 red zone targets and 671 air yards.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR10 · LAR · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
24
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

WR15 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 0-4

Overall rank
34
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board10
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 6 and tier 7
  • Board size218 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board