Start George Pickens or Josh Downs? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start George Pickens over Josh Downs
- Market projects
- 14.1
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 83%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 19%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 13.4
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 79%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 23%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start George Pickens over Josh Downs in Week 5.
Market-based projections have George Pickens at 14.1 points and Josh Downs at 13.4, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 14.1 fantasy points for George Pickens, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has George Pickens at 61.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 43% chance to score a touchdown (17, 15 and 17 market sources).
Player markets imply 13.4 fantasy points for Josh Downs, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Josh Downs at 58.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (12, 10 and 14 market sources).
That puts George Pickens 0.7 points ahead of Josh Downs on the market projections.
Injury status
George Pickens is not on the injury report.
Josh Downs is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, George Pickens played 83 percent of DAL snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.
George Pickens, Week 1 against NYG: 49 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 28 yards.
George Pickens, Week 2 against WAS: 42 of 55 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 40 yards.
George Pickens, Week 3 against BAL: 63 of 74 snaps, 11 targets and 7 catches for 82 yards.
George Pickens, Week 4 against HOU: 67 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 75 yards.
Through Week 4, Josh Downs played 79 percent of IND snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 36 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.
Josh Downs, Week 1 against BAL: 48 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 37 yards.
Josh Downs, Week 2 against KC: 54 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 72 yards.
Josh Downs, Week 3 against HOU: 48 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 5 catches for 77 yards.
Josh Downs, Week 4 against WAS: 51 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, George Pickens played 17 games for DAL and scored 291.9 PPR points, 17.2 a game, finishing WR5.
He caught 93 of 137 targets for 1429 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 21 red zone targets and 950 air yards.
He was on the field for 83 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.
He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR12 · DAL · bye 14
2026 vs anytime td line 0-4
- Overall rank
- 27
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
WR15 · IND · bye 13
2026 vs anytime td line 0-4
- Overall rank
- 34
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board7
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 6 and tier 7
- Board size218 draftable players
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