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Start Khalil Shakir or Deebo Samuel Sr.? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Khalil Shakir over Deebo Samuel Sr.

Market projects
9.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
62%
Through Week 4
Target share
21%
Through Week 4
Market projects
9.6
fantasy pts

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Our Week 5 call

Start Khalil Shakir over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Khalil Shakir at 9.7 points and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 9.6, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Khalil Shakir's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Khalil Shakir is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Khalil Shakir, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market gives Khalil Shakir a 28% chance to score a touchdown (13 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.6 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Deebo Samuel Sr. at 31.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (15, 10 and 15 market sources).

That puts Khalil Shakir 0.1 points ahead of Deebo Samuel Sr. on the market projections.

Injury status

Khalil Shakir is not on the injury report.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Khalil Shakir played 62 percent of BUF snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Khalil Shakir, Week 1 against HOU: 31 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Khalil Shakir, Week 2 against DET: 36 of 74 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 38 yards.

Khalil Shakir, Week 3 against LAC: 48 of 66 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Khalil Shakir, Week 4 against NE: 45 of 59 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 82 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Khalil Shakir played 16 games for BUF and scored 166.4 PPR points, 10.4 a game, finishing WR36.

He caught 72 of 95 targets for 719 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 178 air yards.

He was on the field for 60 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR28 · BUF · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 0-4

Overall rank
67
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

Ranked behind

WR29 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-1

Overall rank
69
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board2
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 13
  • Board size223 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board