Should I start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Khalil Shakir in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s market-based projection is 10.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 52nd highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Khalil Shakir's market-based projection is 9.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 56th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Deebo Samuel Sr., and the board ranks him 31st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Khalil Shakir, and the board ranks him 34th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Deebo Samuel Sr. has been on the field for 57 percent of SF snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 2.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against ARI he carried 2 times for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DEN he carried 3 times for 44 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 26 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against SEA he carried 2 times for 4 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Khalil Shakir has been on the field for 64 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 58 third down targets, had 1 of its 27 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 5.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 4 of 6 targets for 34 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against BAL he caught 5 of 6 targets for 64 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against MIN he caught 4 of 4 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.

He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.2 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 10.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Khalil Shakir played 16 games and scored 166.4 PPR points, 10.4 a game, finishing WR36.

He caught 72 of 95 targets for 719 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 5.9 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 60 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 16 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 11.8 PPR points a game and Khalil Shakir 10.4, 1.4 a game between them.

Deebo Samuel Sr. finished WR25 that year and Khalil Shakir WR36.

Deebo Samuel Sr. had 4 more targets than Khalil Shakir, 99 to 95.

Deebo Samuel Sr. had 8 more receiving yards than Khalil Shakir, 727 to 719.

This season Khalil Shakir holds the bigger snap share, 64 percent against 57 percent.

This season Khalil Shakir holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 15 percent.

Byes and availability

Deebo Samuel Sr. is off in Week 8 and Khalil Shakir in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed as out on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.