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Start DK Metcalf or Luther Burden III? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start DK Metcalf over Luther Burden III

Start

DK Metcalf

WR

Market projects
12.1
fantasy pts
Snap share
96%
Through Week 4
Target share
23%
Through Week 4
Market projects
11.3
fantasy pts

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Our Week 5 call

Start DK Metcalf over Luther Burden III in Week 5.

Market-based projections have DK Metcalf at 12.1 points and Luther Burden III at 11.3, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for DK Metcalf, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has DK Metcalf at 50.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.3 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Luther Burden III at 48.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 27% chance to score a touchdown (15, 11 and 15 market sources).

That puts DK Metcalf 0.8 points ahead of Luther Burden III on the market projections.

Injury status

DK Metcalf is not on the injury report.

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, DK Metcalf played 96 percent of PIT snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 34 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

DK Metcalf, Week 1 against ATL: 64 of 67 snaps, 10 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

DK Metcalf, Week 2 against NE: 68 of 70 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 27 yards.

DK Metcalf, Week 3 against CIN: 59 of 62 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 1 touchdown.

DK Metcalf, Week 4 against CLE: 70 of 72 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 115 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, DK Metcalf played 15 games for PIT and scored 187.2 PPR points, 12.5 a game, finishing WR26.

He caught 59 of 99 targets for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 436 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR19 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
44
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

WR22 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
51
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board7
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 10 and tier 11
  • Board size219 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board