Start Christian Watson or Luther Burden III? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Christian Watson over Luther Burden III
- Market projects
- 12.9
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 79%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 21%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 11.5
- fantasy pts
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Our Week 5 call
Start Christian Watson over Luther Burden III in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Christian Watson at 12.9 points and Luther Burden III at 11.5, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 12.9 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Christian Watson at 60.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (14, 10 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 11.5 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Luther Burden III at 48.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (13, 10 and 13 market sources).
That puts Christian Watson 1.4 points ahead of Luther Burden III on the market projections.
Injury status
Christian Watson is not on the injury report.
Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Christian Watson played 79 percent of GB snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 25 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.
Christian Watson, Week 1 against MIN: 52 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Christian Watson, Week 2 against NYJ: 53 of 59 snaps, 11 targets and 4 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.
Christian Watson, Week 3 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 96 yards, 1 touchdown.
Christian Watson, Week 4 against TB: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.
He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.
He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR15 · GB · bye 11
2026 vs anytime td line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 33
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
WR20 · CHI · bye 10
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 46
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board13
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 10 and tier 12
- Board size255 draftable players
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