Start Drake Maye or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Drake Maye over Michael Penix Jr.
- Market projects
- 16.8
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 95%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 16.2
- fantasy pts
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Our Week 5 call
Start Drake Maye over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Drake Maye at 16.8 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 16.2, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Drake Maye, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Drake Maye at 227.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 19% chance to score a touchdown (15, 15 and 13 market sources).
Player markets imply 16.2 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 220.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 9% chance to score a touchdown (12, 12 and 11 market sources).
That puts Drake Maye 0.6 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the market projections.
Injury status
Drake Maye is not on the injury report.
Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Drake Maye played 95 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 141 times and threw an average of 9.1 air yards per attempt.
Drake Maye, Week 1 against SEA: 71 of 71 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 178 yards, 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions, 7 carries for 47 yards.
Drake Maye, Week 2 against PIT: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 22 passes for 208 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.
Drake Maye, Week 3 against JAX: 51 of 63 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 199 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 18 yards.
Drake Maye, Week 4 against BUF: 76 of 76 snaps, 22 of 37 passes for 269 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 6 carries for 56 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Drake Maye played 17 games for NE and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.
He completed 354 of 492 passes for 4394 yards, 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 103 times for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB5 · NE · bye 11
2026 vs pass yds line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 59
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
QB25 · ATL · bye 11
2025 vs pass yds line 4-5
- Overall rank
- 127
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board68
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 7
- Board size222 draftable players
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