Start Aaron Rodgers or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Michael Penix Jr. over Aaron Rodgers
- Market projects
- 14.6
- fantasy pts
- Market projects
- 14.5
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Michael Penix Jr. over Aaron Rodgers in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Michael Penix Jr. at 14.6 points and Aaron Rodgers at 14.5, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 221.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 0.5 rushing yards, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (11, 16, 9 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Aaron Rodgers at 222.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 0.5 rushing yards, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (12, 15, 6 and 14 market sources).
That puts Michael Penix Jr. 0.1 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the market projections.
Injury status
Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.
Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Aaron Rodgers played 99 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 167 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.
He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB24 · PIT · bye 9
2026 vs pass yds line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 120
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
Ranked behind
QB25 · ATL · bye 11
2025 vs pass yds line 4-5
- Overall rank
- 123
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board3
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 8
- Board size258 draftable players
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