Start Nico Collins or Garrett Wilson? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Nico Collins over Garrett Wilson in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Nico Collins at 16.8 points and Garrett Wilson at 16.2, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Nico Collins, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Nico Collins at 79.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 42% chance to score a touchdown (12, 9 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.2 fantasy points for Garrett Wilson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Garrett Wilson at 69.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 39% chance to score a touchdown (15, 10 and 15 market sources).

That puts Nico Collins 0.6 points ahead of Garrett Wilson on the market projections.

Injury status

Nico Collins is not on the injury report.

Garrett Wilson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Nico Collins played 71 percent of HOU snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

Nico Collins, Week 1 against BUF: 57 of 79 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 10 targets and 7 catches for 75 yards, 1 touchdown.

Nico Collins, Week 4 against DAL: 38 of 55 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 4, Garrett Wilson played 87 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 28 percent of the targets, earned 38 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Garrett Wilson, Week 1 against TEN: 50 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards.

Garrett Wilson, Week 2 against GB: 65 of 74 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 57 yards, 1 touchdown.

Garrett Wilson, Week 3 against DET: 62 of 66 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 107 yards, 1 touchdown.

Garrett Wilson, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Nico Collins played 15 games for HOU and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 793 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Nico Collins, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 44 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 57 yards, 8.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start CeeDee Lamb over Nico Collins.
• Start Chris Olave over Nico Collins.
• Start Nico Collins over Davante Adams.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over Garrett Wilson.
• Start Chris Olave over Garrett Wilson.
• Start Garrett Wilson over Davante Adams.