Start Jameis Winston or Justin Herbert? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Jameis Winston over Justin Herbert in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Jameis Winston at 12.9 points and Justin Herbert at 12.1, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.9 fantasy points for Jameis Winston, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Jameis Winston at 199.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 2.5 rushing yards, with a 10% chance to score a touchdown (13, 16, 8 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Justin Herbert, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Justin Herbert at 199.5 passing yards, 0.5 passing touchdowns and 25.5 rushing yards, with a 16% chance to score a touchdown (10, 16, 12 and 14 market sources).

That puts Jameis Winston 0.8 points ahead of Justin Herbert on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Justin Herbert and LAC host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 18.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 1.5 touchdowns a game against DEN, with an interception.

Injury status

Jameis Winston is not on the injury report.

Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Jameis Winston played 96 percent of NYG snaps, dropped back 88 times and threw an average of 9.8 air yards per attempt.

Jameis Winston, Week 2 against LAR: 51 of 58 snaps, 11 of 27 passes for 111 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 1 yards.

Jameis Winston, Week 3 against TEN: 64 of 64 snaps, 14 of 22 passes for 118 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 15 yards.

Jameis Winston, Week 4 against ARI: 67 of 67 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 250 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Through Week 4, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 144 times and threw an average of 8.8 air yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert, Week 1 against ARI: 55 of 55 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 2 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 192 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 3 against BUF: 69 of 69 snaps, 20 of 34 passes for 226 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 17 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 4 against SEA: 71 of 71 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 189 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jameis Winston played 3 games for NYG and scored 45.3 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing QB46.

He completed 37 of 66 passes for 567 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and ran 7 times for 23 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Aaron Rodgers over Jameis Winston.
• Start Brock Purdy over Jameis Winston.
• Start Jameis Winston over Cam Ward.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Justin Herbert.
• Start Bo Nix over Justin Herbert.
• Start Brock Purdy over Justin Herbert.