Start Tyson Bagent or Justin Herbert? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Tyson Bagent over Justin Herbert in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Tyson Bagent at 15.8 points and Justin Herbert at 12.1, a gap of 3.7.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Justin Herbert, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Justin Herbert at 199.5 passing yards, 0.5 passing touchdowns and 25.5 rushing yards, with a 16% chance to score a touchdown (10, 16, 13 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.8 fantasy points for Tyson Bagent, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Tyson Bagent at 218.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 14% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 12 and 14 market sources).

That puts Tyson Bagent 3.7 points ahead of Justin Herbert on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Justin Herbert and LAC host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 18.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 1.5 touchdowns a game against DEN, with an interception.

Injury status

Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.

Tyson Bagent is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 144 times and threw an average of 8.8 air yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert, Week 1 against ARI: 55 of 55 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 2 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 192 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 3 against BUF: 69 of 69 snaps, 20 of 34 passes for 226 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 17 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 4 against SEA: 71 of 71 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 189 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Through Week 4, Tyson Bagent played 62 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 45 times and threw an average of 6.8 air yards per attempt.

Tyson Bagent, Week 2 against MIN: 10 of 74 snaps, 5 of 8 passes for 54 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Tyson Bagent, Week 4 against NYJ: 93 of 93 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyson Bagent played 3 games for CHI and scored 2.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing QB67.

He completed 3 of 4 passes for 47 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 2 times for 7 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Aaron Rodgers over Justin Herbert.
• Start Bo Nix over Justin Herbert.
• Start Brock Purdy over Justin Herbert.
• Start Tyson Bagent over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Tyson Bagent.
• Start Brock Purdy over Tyson Bagent.