Start Luther Burden III or Stefon Diggs? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Stefon Diggs over Luther Burden III in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Stefon Diggs at 12.5 points and Luther Burden III at 11.3, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Stefon Diggs's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Stefon Diggs is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.5 fantasy points for Stefon Diggs, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market gives Stefon Diggs a 36% chance to score a touchdown (14 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.3 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Luther Burden III at 49.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 26% chance to score a touchdown (15, 11 and 14 market sources).

That puts Stefon Diggs 1.2 points ahead of Luther Burden III on the market projections.

Injury status

Stefon Diggs is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Stefon Diggs played 59 percent of WAS snaps, drew 24 percent of the targets, earned 21 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Stefon Diggs, Week 1 against PHI: 44 of 70 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 55 yards, 1 touchdown.

Stefon Diggs, Week 2 against DAL: 36 of 71 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 47 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Stefon Diggs, Week 3 against SEA: 41 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 33 yards.

Stefon Diggs, Week 4 against IND: 42 of 64 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Stefon Diggs played 17 games for NE and scored 210.3 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR17.

He caught 85 of 102 targets for 1013 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 659 air yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Christian Watson over Stefon Diggs.
• Start Stefon Diggs over DK Metcalf.
• Start Stefon Diggs over Jameson Williams.
• Start Luther Burden III over Carnell Tate.
• Start Christian Watson over Luther Burden III.
• Start Luther Burden III over Denzel Boston.