Start Trevor Lawrence or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Trevor Lawrence over Michael Penix Jr.
- Market projects
- 15.2
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 96%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 14.7
- fantasy pts
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Our Week 5 call
Start Trevor Lawrence over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 15.2 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 14.7, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 15.2 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Trevor Lawrence at 230.5 passing yards and 13.5 rushing yards, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (13, 14 and 13 market sources).
Player markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 220.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 9% chance to score a touchdown (12, 12 and 11 market sources).
That puts Trevor Lawrence 0.4 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the market projections.
Injury status
Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.
Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence played 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 113 times and threw an average of 8.6 air yards per attempt.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 2 against DEN: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 3 against NE: 59 of 62 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.
He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB8 · JAX · bye 7
2026 vs pass yds line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 70
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
QB26 · ATL · bye 11
2025 vs pass yds line 4-5
- Overall rank
- 121
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board51
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 6
- Board size258 draftable players
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