Start Nico Collins or Michael Wilson? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Nico Collins over Michael Wilson in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Nico Collins at 16.7 points and Michael Wilson at 15.5, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.7 fantasy points for Nico Collins, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Nico Collins at 78.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 42% chance to score a touchdown (11, 8 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.5 fantasy points for Michael Wilson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Michael Wilson at 71.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 37% chance to score a touchdown (15, 8 and 14 market sources).

That puts Nico Collins 1.2 points ahead of Michael Wilson on the market projections.

Injury status

Nico Collins is not on the injury report.

Michael Wilson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Nico Collins played 71 percent of HOU snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

Nico Collins, Week 1 against BUF: 57 of 79 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 10 targets and 7 catches for 75 yards, 1 touchdown.

Nico Collins, Week 4 against DAL: 38 of 55 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 4, Michael Wilson played 91 percent of ARI snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 44 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Michael Wilson, Week 1 against LAC: 64 of 75 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 2 against SEA: 47 of 50 snaps, 7 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 3 against SF: 81 of 87 snaps, 17 targets and 11 catches for 89 yards, 1 touchdown.

Michael Wilson, Week 4 against NYG: 62 of 66 snaps, 13 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Nico Collins played 15 games for HOU and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 793 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Nico Collins, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 44 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 57 yards, 8.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Michael Wilson played 17 games for ARI and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 733 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start CeeDee Lamb over Nico Collins.
• Start Chris Olave over Nico Collins.
• Start Nico Collins over Davante Adams.
• Start Chris Olave over Michael Wilson.
• Start Michael Wilson over Davante Adams.
• Start Drake London over Michael Wilson.