Weekly Audit — July 27, 2026 – August 2, 2026: 5-1-0, +3.35u

The week in one line

5-1-0 on 6 graded plays, +3.35u at flat 1u stakes, +55.83% ROI, +7.57% average CLV.

The numbers

• Week: July 27, 2026 – August 2, 2026 (ET)
• Record (W-L-P): 5-1-0
• Graded plays: 6
• Units (flat 1u): +3.35u
• ROI: +55.83%
• Average CLV: +7.57%
• Best call: Payton Tolle — Pitching Outs Under 16.5 +113 (novig) — Boston Red Sox @ Athletics (+1.13u)
• Worst call: Randy Arozarena — Batting Totalbases Under 1.5 -167 (novig) — Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers (−1.00u)
• Biggest line move: Aleksandar Kovačević, sgo:dbbm9brvuoxg7qmmaha6 — +8.9pp fire→close

What we make of it

Up 3.35u on 6 graded plays, +55.83% ROI. One good week is not a track record; it's one week inside a sample that's still small. Average closing-line value came in at +7.57%. CLV is the number we actually steer by, because it stabilises long before win rate does. Biggest line move: Aleksandar Kovačević (sgo:dbbm9brvuoxg7qmmaha6) moved +8.9 points of implied probability from our fire price to the close.

How to check us

Every number above comes from the same fired-picks ledger the track-record page reads: each pick captured at the moment it published, graded at the price we recommended, no backfill and no re-pricing. The card at the top of this post is generated from that ledger too.