Week of August 10 – August 16, 2026
39 wins, 36 losses, 0 ties on 75 picks — a −0.20% return at one unit a bet. Best and worst calls included.
The week in one line
39-36-0 on 75 graded plays, −0.15u at flat 1u stakes, −0.20% ROI, +5.62% average CLV.
The numbers
- Week
- August 10, 2026 – August 16, 2026 (ET)
- Record (wins–losses–ties)
- 39-36-0
- Graded picks
- 75
- Units won or lost
- −0.15u
- Return on money staked (ROI)
- −0.20%
- Average price move our way (CLV)
- +5.62%
- Best call
- Ben Shelton +130 (pinnacle) — Brandon Nakashima @ Ben Shelton (+1.30u)
- Worst call
- Nikoloz Basilashvili -107 (pinnacle) — Nikoloz Basilashvili @ Jaime Faria (−1.00u)
- Biggest price move
- Terence Atmane, sgo:dn8cfzpfojyfeh7mcgjm — +20.1pp fire→close
What we make of it
Down 0.15u on 75 graded plays, −0.20% ROI. Losing weeks get posted with the same wording as winning ones — that's the whole point of grading in public. Average closing-line value came in at +5.62%. CLV is the number we actually steer by, because it stabilises long before win rate does. Biggest line move: Terence Atmane (sgo:dn8cfzpfojyfeh7mcgjm) moved +20.1 points of implied probability from our fire price to the close.
How to check us
Every number above comes from the same fired-picks ledger the track-record page reads: each pick captured at the moment it published, graded at the price we recommended, no backfill and no re-pricing. The card at the top of this post is generated from that ledger too.