Week of August 17 – August 23, 2026
13 wins, 21 losses, 0 ties on 34 picks — a −21.47% return at one unit a bet. Best and worst calls included.
The week in one line
13-21-0 on 34 graded plays, −7.30u at flat 1u stakes, −21.47% ROI, +3.46% average CLV.
The numbers
- Week
- August 17, 2026 – August 23, 2026 (ET)
- Record (wins–losses–ties)
- 13-21-0
- Graded picks
- 34
- Units won or lost
- −7.30u
- Return on money staked (ROI)
- −21.47%
- Average price move our way (CLV)
- +3.46%
- Best call
- Flavio Cobolli +126 (pinnacle) — Flavio Cobolli @ Rafael Jodar (+1.26u)
- Worst call
- Learner Tien -128 (pinnacle) — Frances Tiafoe @ Learner Tien (−1.00u)
- Biggest price move
- Arthur Fils, sgo:bkylakzod3yt4moc4wqx — +20.8pp fire→close
What we make of it
Down 7.30u on 34 graded plays, −21.47% ROI. Losing weeks get posted with the same wording as winning ones — that's the whole point of grading in public. Average closing-line value came in at +3.46%. CLV is the number we actually steer by, because it stabilises long before win rate does. Biggest line move: Arthur Fils (sgo:bkylakzod3yt4moc4wqx) moved +20.8 points of implied probability from our fire price to the close.
How to check us
Every number above comes from the same fired-picks ledger the track-record page reads: each pick captured at the moment it published, graded at the price we recommended, no backfill and no re-pricing. The card at the top of this post is generated from that ledger too.