Week of August 31 – September 6, 2026
36 wins, 23 losses, 1 tie on 60 picks — a +18.22% return at one unit a bet. Best and worst calls included.
The week in one line
36-23-1 on 60 graded plays, +10.93u at flat 1u stakes, +18.22% ROI, +5.49% average CLV.
The numbers
- Week
- August 31, 2026 – September 6, 2026 (ET)
- Record (wins–losses–ties)
- 36-23-1
- Graded picks
- 60
- Units won or lost
- +10.93u
- Return on money staked (ROI)
- +18.22%
- Average price move our way (CLV)
- +5.49%
- Best call
- Benjamin Bonzi +125 (boylesports) — Ignacio Buse @ Benjamin Bonzi (+1.25u)
- Worst call
- Stefanos Tsitsipas +114 (pinnacle) — Stefanos Tsitsipas @ Lloyd Harris (−1.00u)
- Biggest price move
- Frances Tiafoe, sgo:bit6fsvlcdovvu11namc — +14.9pp fire→close
What we make of it
Up 10.93u on 60 graded plays, +18.22% ROI. One good week is not a track record; it's one week inside a sample that's still small. Average closing-line value came in at +5.49%. CLV is the number we actually steer by, because it stabilises long before win rate does. Biggest line move: Frances Tiafoe (sgo:bit6fsvlcdovvu11namc) moved +14.9 points of implied probability from our fire price to the close.
How to check us
Every number above comes from the same fired-picks ledger the track-record page reads: each pick captured at the moment it published, graded at the price we recommended, no backfill and no re-pricing. The card at the top of this post is generated from that ledger too.