Puka Nacua or Derrick Henry: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Puka Nacua at 18.9 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 16 books. That is the 7th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Derrick Henry at 18.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 11th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Puka Nacua: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 4th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 5.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Derrick Henry: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 5th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 11.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Puka Nacua has been on the field for 70 percent of LAR snaps, drawn 33 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 7 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 12.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against SF he caught 5 of 9 targets for 74 yards and did not score.

Through Week 1, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 54 percent of BAL snaps, taken 71 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 6 third down targets, had 2 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 1 target have come 1.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against IND he carried 24 times for 144 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 19 yards and scored 3 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Puka Nacua played 16 games and scored 375.0 PPR points, 23.4 a game, finishing WR1.

He caught 129 of 166 targets for 1715 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets.

That came to 10.4 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Derrick Henry was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Puka Nacua scored 23.4 PPR points a game and Derrick Henry 16.4, 7.0 a game between them.

Puka Nacua finished WR1 and Derrick Henry RB8, which are two different ladders.

Puka Nacua is a wide receiver and Derrick Henry a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Puka Nacua is off in Week 11 and Derrick Henry in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Puka Nacua is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.5 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.