Jalen Nailor or Jalen McMillan: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Jalen Nailor at 5.0 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 14 books. That is the 150th highest figure of the 176 players the books price.

The player markets price Jalen McMillan at 3.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 153rd highest figure of the 176 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jalen Nailor: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 149th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 202.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jalen McMillan: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 156th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 162.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Jalen Nailor has been on the field for 60 percent of LV snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 7 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have averaged 11.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against MIA he caught 3 of 5 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against LAC he caught 1 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Through Week 2, Jalen McMillan has been on the field for 11 percent of TB snaps, drawn 0 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 7 two minute targets.

In Week 2 against CLE he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jalen Nailor played 17 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 55 percent catch rate and 15.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jalen McMillan played 4 games and scored 29.9 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing WR137.

He caught 12 of 15 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Nailor was available for 13 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jalen McMillan scored 7.5 PPR points a game and Jalen Nailor 5.9, 1.6 a game between them.

Jalen Nailor finished WR61 that year and Jalen McMillan WR137.

Jalen Nailor had 38 more targets than Jalen McMillan, 53 to 15.

Jalen Nailor had 266 more receiving yards than Jalen McMillan, 444 to 178.

This season Jalen Nailor holds the bigger snap share, 60 percent against 11 percent.

This season Jalen Nailor holds the bigger target share, 14 percent against 0 percent.

Byes and availability

Jalen Nailor is off in Week 13 and Jalen McMillan in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.