Ja'Marr Chase or Michael Wilson: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Ja'Marr Chase at 18.3 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 13th highest figure of the 219 players the market prices.

The player markets price Michael Wilson at 17.6 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 18 market sources. That is the 17th highest figure of the 219 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Ja'Marr Chase: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 8th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 5.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Wilson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 11th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Ja'Marr Chase has been on the field for 72 percent of CIN snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 37 third down targets, had 1 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 28 targets have averaged 8.1 air yards.

In Week 2 against HOU he caught 7 of 9 targets for 75 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 3 against PIT he caught 9 of 12 targets for 98 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against JAX he caught 3 of 3 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 91 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 37 third down targets, had 4 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 13 of its 33 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 9.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against SEA he caught 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against SF he caught 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against NYG he caught 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Ja'Marr Chase played 16 games and scored 313.6 PPR points, 19.6 a game, finishing WR4.

He caught 125 of 185 targets for 1412 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 21 red zone targets.

That came to 11.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 11.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 94 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Michael Wilson was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Ja'Marr Chase scored 19.6 PPR points a game and Michael Wilson 13.0, 6.6 a game between them.

Ja'Marr Chase finished WR4 that year and Michael Wilson WR10.

Ja'Marr Chase had 59 more targets than Michael Wilson, 185 to 126.

Ja'Marr Chase had 406 more receiving yards than Michael Wilson, 1412 to 1006.

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 91 percent against 72 percent.

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger target share, 30 percent against 18 percent.

Byes and availability

Ja'Marr Chase is off in Week 6 and Michael Wilson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

Ja'Marr Chase is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.