Tony Pollard or Kenny Gainwell: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Tony Pollard at 8.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 110th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Kenny Gainwell at 7.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 books. That is the 129th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tony Pollard: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 104th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 89.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Kenny Gainwell: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 136.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Tony Pollard has been on the field for 52 percent of TEN snaps, taken 50 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 8 third down targets and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 12.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against NYJ he carried 7 times for 35 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for -1 yards and did not score.

Through Week 1, Kenny Gainwell has been on the field for 46 percent of TB snaps, taken 26 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 6 third down targets and seen 0 of its 1 two minute target.

His 1 target have come 5.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against CIN he carried 5 times for 15 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tony Pollard played 17 games and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.

He carried 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 more yards.

That came to 14.2 carries a game at 4.5 yards a carry and 1.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kenny Gainwell played 17 games and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He carried 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 more yards.

That came to 6.7 carries a game at 4.7 yards a carry and 4.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Kenny Gainwell scored 13.1 PPR points a game and Tony Pollard 10.9, 2.1 a game between them.

Tony Pollard finished RB23 that year and Kenny Gainwell RB16.

Tony Pollard had 128 more carries than Kenny Gainwell, 242 to 114.

Kenny Gainwell had 40 more catches than Tony Pollard, 73 to 33.

This season Tony Pollard holds the bigger snap share, 52 percent against 46 percent.

This season Tony Pollard holds the bigger share of the carries, 50 percent against 26 percent.

Byes and availability

Tony Pollard is off in Week 9 and Kenny Gainwell in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.