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Start Christian McCaffrey or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Christian McCaffrey over Aaron Jones Sr.

Market projects
18.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
66%
Through Week 4
Target share
20%
Through Week 4
Market projects
17.6
fantasy pts

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Our Week 5 call

Start Christian McCaffrey over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Christian McCaffrey at 18.5 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 17.6, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.5 fantasy points for Christian McCaffrey, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Christian McCaffrey at 53.5 rushing yards, 35.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 57% chance to score a touchdown (13, 16, 12 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.6 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 72.5 rushing yards, 18.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 56% chance to score a touchdown (6, 6, 4 and 8 market sources).

That puts Christian McCaffrey 1.0 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the market projections.

Injury status

Christian McCaffrey is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Christian McCaffrey played 66 percent of SF snaps, took 45 percent of the carries, drew 20 percent of the targets and had 35 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 1 against LAR: 36 of 65 snaps, 10 carries for 68 yards, 8 targets and 5 catches for 20 yards.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 2 against MIA: 27 of 52 snaps, 10 carries for 23 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 3 against ARI: 45 of 54 snaps, 15 carries for 75 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 4 against DEN: 49 of 66 snaps, 15 carries for 52 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Christian McCaffrey played 17 games for SF and scored 416.6 PPR points, 24.5 a game, finishing RB1.

He ran 311 times for 1202 yards and 10 touchdowns, and caught 102 of 129 targets for 924 yards.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB4 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs carries line 1-3

Overall rank
9
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB9 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 4-0

Overall rank
18
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board9
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 4
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board