Start Christian McCaffrey or Ashton Jeanty? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Christian McCaffrey over Ashton Jeanty
- Market projects
- 18.3
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 66%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 20%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 16.5
- fantasy pts
- NE D vs RB
- 20.9
- 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 76%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 18%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Christian McCaffrey over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Christian McCaffrey at 18.3 points and Ashton Jeanty at 16.5, a gap of 1.8.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Ashton Jeanty at 59.5 rushing yards, 24.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 53% chance to score a touchdown (15, 14, 12 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 18.3 fantasy points for Christian McCaffrey, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Christian McCaffrey at 51.5 rushing yards, 35.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 56% chance to score a touchdown (14, 14, 12 and 14 market sources).
That puts Christian McCaffrey 1.8 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on the market projections.
Week 5 matchups
Ashton Jeanty and LV visit NE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NE allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 15th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 90 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 32 more yards.
Injury status
Ashton Jeanty is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.
Christian McCaffrey is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Ashton Jeanty played 76 percent of LV snaps, took 70 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 54 percent of the red zone chances.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards.
Through Week 4, Christian McCaffrey played 66 percent of SF snaps, took 45 percent of the carries, drew 20 percent of the targets and had 35 percent of the red zone chances.
Christian McCaffrey, Week 1 against LAR: 36 of 65 snaps, 10 carries for 68 yards, 8 targets and 5 catches for 20 yards.
Christian McCaffrey, Week 2 against MIA: 27 of 52 snaps, 10 carries for 23 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Christian McCaffrey, Week 3 against ARI: 45 of 54 snaps, 15 carries for 75 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.
Christian McCaffrey, Week 4 against DEN: 49 of 66 snaps, 15 carries for 52 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.
He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.
He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Christian McCaffrey played 17 games for SF and scored 416.6 PPR points, 24.5 a game, finishing RB1.
He ran 311 times for 1202 yards and 10 touchdowns, and caught 102 of 129 targets for 924 yards.
He was on the field for 83 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB5 · SF · bye 8
2026 vs carries line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 10
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
Ranked behind
RB10 · LV · bye 13
2026 vs carries line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 21
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board11
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 3 and tier 4
- Board size258 draftable players
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