Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Davante Adams? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Davante Adams
Right: 16.8 to 7.2
- Market projected
- 16.8
- pre-game
- Scored
- 16.8
- PPR pts
- Market projected
- 16.7
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 95%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 18%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 7.2
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Davante Adams in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.8 points and Davante Adams at 16.7, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Market coverage on Aaron Jones Sr. is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 60 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market gives Aaron Jones Sr. a 54% chance to score a touchdown (8 market sources).
Player markets imply 16.7 fantasy points for Davante Adams, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Davante Adams at 73.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 49% chance to score a touchdown (9, 6 and 8 market sources).
That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.0 points ahead of Davante Adams on the market projections.
Injury status
Aaron Jones Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Davante Adams was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, Davante Adams played 69 percent of LAR snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 45 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.
Davante Adams, Week 1 against SF: 33 of 61 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.
Davante Adams, Week 2 against NYG: 40 of 62 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 195 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Davante Adams, Week 3 against DEN: 71 of 86 snaps, 13 targets and 7 catches for 137 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Davante Adams played 14 games for LAR and scored 222.9 PPR points, 15.9 a game, finishing WR9.
He caught 60 of 114 targets for 789 yards and 14 touchdowns, with 31 red zone targets and 671 air yards.
He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 4 went
Aaron Jones Sr. scored 16.8 PPR points and Davante Adams scored 7.2.
The call was right: Aaron Jones Sr. outscored Davante Adams by 9.6.
Aaron Jones Sr. finished 0.0 points above the 16.8 the market projected.
Davante Adams finished 9.5 points below the 16.7 the market projected.
Davante Adams, Week 4 against PHI: 80 of 84 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards, 7.2 PPR points.
Davante Adams finished as the week's WR61 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB7 · MIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 4-0
- Overall rank
- 10
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
WR10 · LAR · bye 11
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 28
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board18
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 5
- Board size211 draftable players
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