Start Amon-Ra St. Brown or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Aaron Jones Sr.
Wrong: 15.5 to 16.8
- Market projected
- 18.8
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 96%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 22%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 15.5
- PPR pts
- Market projected
- 16.8
- pre-game
- Scored
- 16.8
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Amon-Ra St. Brown at 18.8 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.8, a gap of 2.0.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 18.8 fantasy points for Amon-Ra St. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Amon-Ra St. Brown at 76.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 52% chance to score a touchdown (12, 8 and 13 market sources).
Player markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 60 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market gives Aaron Jones Sr. a 54% chance to score a touchdown (8 market sources).
That puts Amon-Ra St. Brown 2.0 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the market projections.
Injury status
Amon-Ra St. Brown was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Aaron Jones Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 86 percent of DET snaps, drew 32 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 1 against NO: 69 of 77 snaps, 14 targets and 10 catches for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 2 against BUF: 62 of 65 snaps, 13 targets and 9 catches for 142 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 3 against NYJ: 48 of 65 snaps, 8 targets and 4 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 17 games for DET and scored 324.0 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing WR3.
He caught 117 of 172 targets for 1401 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 34 red zone targets and 831 air yards.
He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 4 went
Amon-Ra St. Brown scored 15.5 PPR points and Aaron Jones Sr. scored 16.8.
The call was wrong: Aaron Jones Sr. outscored Amon-Ra St. Brown by 1.3.
Amon-Ra St. Brown finished 3.3 points below the 18.8 the market projected.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 4 against CAR: 68 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 75 yards, 15.5 PPR points.
Amon-Ra St. Brown finished as the week's WR20 in PPR scoring.
Aaron Jones Sr. finished 0.0 points above the 16.8 the market projected.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR2 · DET · bye 6
2026 vs anytime td line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 4
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
RB9 · MIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 4-0
- Overall rank
- 19
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board15
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 2 and tier 5
- Board size239 draftable players
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