Start C.J. Stroud or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start C.J. Stroud over Michael Penix Jr.
- Market projects
- 14.4
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 12.2
- fantasy pts
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Our Week 5 call
Start C.J. Stroud over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 5.
Market-based projections have C.J. Stroud at 14.4 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 12.2, a gap of 2.2. C.J. Stroud's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 14.4 fantasy points for C.J. Stroud, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has C.J. Stroud at 230.5 passing yards, with a 14% chance to score a touchdown (7 and 8 market sources).
Player markets imply 12.2 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 221.5 passing yards, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (14 and 13 market sources).
That puts C.J. Stroud 2.2 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the market projections.
Injury status
C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.
Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 166 times and threw an average of 10.3 air yards per attempt.
C.J. Stroud, Week 1 against BUF: 79 of 79 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 274 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 15 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 2 against CIN: 80 of 80 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 353 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 29 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 3 against IND: 54 of 54 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 167 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 4 against DAL: 55 of 55 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.
He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB11 · HOU · bye 8
2026 vs pass yds line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 86
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
Ranked behind
QB25 · ATL · bye 11
2025 vs pass yds line 4-5
- Overall rank
- 122
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board36
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 7 and tier 8
- Board size223 draftable players
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