Start Ashton Jeanty or Jaylen Warren? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Jaylen Warren over Ashton Jeanty

- Market projects
- 15.3
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 74%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 14%
- Through Week 4

- Market projects
- 16.0
- fantasy pts
- NE D vs RB
- 20.9
- 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 76%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 18%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Jaylen Warren over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Jaylen Warren at 15.3 points and Ashton Jeanty at 16.0, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Ashton Jeanty at 59.5 rushing yards, 24.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 49% chance to score a touchdown (8, 8, 7 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Jaylen Warren, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Jaylen Warren at 61.5 rushing yards, 17.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 55% chance to score a touchdown (14, 12, 13 and 16 market sources).
That puts Ashton Jeanty 0.7 points ahead of Jaylen Warren on the market projections.
Week 5 matchups
Ashton Jeanty and LV visit NE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NE allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 15th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 90 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 32 more yards.
Injury status
Ashton Jeanty is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.
Jaylen Warren is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Ashton Jeanty played 76 percent of LV snaps, took 70 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 54 percent of the red zone chances.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards.
Through Week 4, Jaylen Warren played 74 percent of PIT snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.
Jaylen Warren, Week 1 against ATL: 25 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 46 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 27 yards.
Jaylen Warren, Week 2 against NE: 50 of 70 snaps, 11 carries for 43 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards.
Jaylen Warren, Week 3 against CIN: 56 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 127 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards.
Jaylen Warren, Week 4 against CLE: 70 of 72 snaps, 17 carries for 93 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.
He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.
He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.
He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.
He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB10 · LV · bye 13
2026 vs carries line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 25
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
Ranked behind
RB12 · PIT · bye unlisted
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 28
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board3
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 7 and tier 8
- Board size269 draftable players
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