Bo Nix or Geno Smith: who should I start in Week 3?
Both players' season price from the sportsbooks, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.
Updated Sep 25, 2026 at 2:41 AM ET
Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the books have not posted a whole price on Geno Smith, so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all priced from the same board.
QB20 · DEN · bye 10
2025 vs pass yds line 8-9
- Books price
- 16.0 pts a game
- Draft pick
- no consensus
QB28 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs pass yds line 5-10
- Overall rank
- 135
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
The gap
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Board size230 draftable players
Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the sportsbooks' price and nothing else.
Where the draft room stands
Drafters have formed no consensus on Bo Nix: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 110th overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 31.
Drafters have formed no consensus on Geno Smith: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 135th overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 122.
What the sportsbooks price
The player markets price Bo Nix at 16.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 books. That is the 33rd highest figure of the 176 players the books price.
The books have Geno Smith at 14.4 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 17 books. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's price needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Geno Smith's price is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 2
Through Week 2, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 64 times and thrown 6.1 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 10 of 64 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.
In Week 1 against KC he completed 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 3 yards.
In Week 2 against JAX he completed 22 of 31 passes for 288 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 9 yards.
Through Week 2, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 74 times and thrown 6.6 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 74 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.
In Week 1 against TEN he completed 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.
In Week 2 against GB he completed 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 17 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.
He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.
That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.
He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.
That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Bo Nix was available for 2 games more.
Head to head
In 2025 Bo Nix scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Geno Smith 12.7, 5.9 a game between them.
Bo Nix finished QB7 that year and Geno Smith QB23.
Bo Nix had 164 more pass attempts than Geno Smith, 612 to 448.
Bo Nix had 906 more passing yards than Geno Smith, 3931 to 3025.
Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.
Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.
Byes and availability
Bo Nix is off in Week 10 and Geno Smith in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.
What would change the answer
Geno Smith is only part priced, so the books' half of this page is whole for only one of them.
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