Start Bo Nix or Sam Darnold? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Bo Nix over Sam Darnold
- Market projects
- 16.5
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 15.4
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 75%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Bo Nix over Sam Darnold in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 16.5 points and Sam Darnold at 15.4, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Bo Nix at 223.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 14.5 rushing yards, with a 19% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 15 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 15.5 fantasy points for Sam Darnold, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Sam Darnold at 227.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 4.5 rushing yards, with a 10% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 13 and 15 market sources).
That puts Bo Nix 1.0 points ahead of Sam Darnold on the market projections.
Injury status
Bo Nix is not on the injury report.
Sam Darnold is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 143 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.
Bo Nix, Week 1 against KC: 51 of 51 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 3 yards.
Bo Nix, Week 2 against JAX: 62 of 62 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.
Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.
Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.
Through Week 4, Sam Darnold played 75 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 75 times and threw an average of 6.8 air yards per attempt.
Sam Darnold, Week 1 against NE: 5 of 50 snaps, 1 of 2 passes for 13 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Sam Darnold, Week 3 against WAS: 67 of 67 snaps, 31 of 45 passes for 379 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.
Sam Darnold, Week 4 against LAC: 60 of 60 snaps, 13 of 22 passes for 168 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 8 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.
He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Sam Darnold played 17 games for SEA and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.
He completed 323 of 477 passes for 4048 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran 35 times for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB13 · DEN · bye 10
2026 vs pass yds line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 91
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
QB22 · SEA · bye 11
2025 vs pass yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 110
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board19
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 6
- Board size222 draftable players
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