Bo Nix or Sam Darnold: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Bo Nix at 16.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 27th highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

The player markets price Sam Darnold at 15.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 40th highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Bo Nix: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 91st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Sam Darnold: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 27.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 143 times and thrown 5.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 15 of 143 dropbacks and scrambled 3 times.

In Week 2 against JAX he completed 22 of 31 passes for 288 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 9 yards.

In Week 3 against LAR he completed 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 7 yards.

In Week 4 against SF he completed 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 10 yards.

Through Week 4, Sam Darnold has been on the field for 75 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 75 times and thrown 6.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 14 of 75 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 1 of 2 passes for 13 yards and threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 3 against WAS he completed 31 of 45 passes for 379 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 1 time for 5 yards.

In Week 4 against LAC he completed 13 of 22 passes for 168 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Sam Darnold played 17 games and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He threw for 4048 yards on 477 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 28.1 attempts a game at 8.5 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Bo Nix scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Sam Darnold 14.7, 3.9 a game between them.

Bo Nix finished QB7 that year and Sam Darnold QB13.

Bo Nix had 135 more pass attempts than Sam Darnold, 612 to 477.

Sam Darnold had 117 more passing yards than Bo Nix, 4048 to 3931.

This season Bo Nix holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 75 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Bo Nix is off in Week 10 and Sam Darnold in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.