Start Aaron Rodgers or Sam Darnold? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold
- Market projects
- 16.3
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 15.4
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 75%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Aaron Rodgers at 16.3 points and Sam Darnold at 15.4, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.3 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Aaron Rodgers at 224.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 9% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17 and 15 market sources).
Player markets imply 15.5 fantasy points for Sam Darnold, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Sam Darnold at 227.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 4.5 rushing yards, with a 10% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 13 and 15 market sources).
That puts Aaron Rodgers 0.8 points ahead of Sam Darnold on the market projections.
Injury status
Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.
Sam Darnold is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Aaron Rodgers played 99 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 167 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.
Through Week 4, Sam Darnold played 75 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 75 times and threw an average of 6.8 air yards per attempt.
Sam Darnold, Week 1 against NE: 5 of 50 snaps, 1 of 2 passes for 13 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Sam Darnold, Week 3 against WAS: 67 of 67 snaps, 31 of 45 passes for 379 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.
Sam Darnold, Week 4 against LAC: 60 of 60 snaps, 13 of 22 passes for 168 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 8 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.
He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Sam Darnold played 17 games for SEA and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.
He completed 323 of 477 passes for 4048 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran 35 times for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB16 · PIT · bye 9
2026 vs pass yds line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 95
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
QB22 · SEA · bye 11
2025 vs pass yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 110
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board15
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 6
- Board size222 draftable players
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