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Start Brenton Strange or Jake Ferguson? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Brenton Strange over Jake Ferguson

Market projects
8.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
79%
Through Week 4
Target share
18%
Through Week 4
Market projects
8.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
69%
Through Week 4
Target share
10%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Brenton Strange over Jake Ferguson in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Brenton Strange at 8.5 points and Jake Ferguson at 8.2, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.5 fantasy points for Brenton Strange, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market has Brenton Strange at 34.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 23% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 8.2 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market has Jake Ferguson at 26.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (17, 14 and 17 market sources).

That puts Brenton Strange 0.3 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on the market projections.

Injury status

Brenton Strange is not on the injury report.

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Brenton Strange played 79 percent of JAX snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 16 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Brenton Strange, Week 1 against CLE: 39 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brenton Strange, Week 2 against DEN: 49 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Brenton Strange, Week 3 against NE: 48 of 62 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards.

Brenton Strange, Week 4 against CIN: 53 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards.

Through Week 4, Jake Ferguson played 69 percent of DAL snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 1 against NYG: 44 of 58 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 2 against WAS: 33 of 55 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Jake Ferguson, Week 3 against BAL: 51 of 74 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brenton Strange played 12 games for JAX and scored 118.0 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing TE23.

He caught 46 of 60 targets for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE14 · JAX · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
109
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

TE16 · DAL · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Overall rank
115
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board6
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 4
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board