Start Jake Ferguson or Cade Otton? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Jake Ferguson over Cade Otton in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Jake Ferguson at 8.2 points and Cade Otton at 7.4, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.4 fantasy points for Cade Otton, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market has Cade Otton at 28.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 16% chance to score a touchdown (16, 15 and 16 market sources).

Player markets imply 8.2 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market has Jake Ferguson at 26.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (17, 14 and 17 market sources).

That puts Jake Ferguson 0.8 points ahead of Cade Otton on the market projections.

Injury status

Cade Otton is not on the injury report.

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Cade Otton played 94 percent of TB snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 15 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Cade Otton, Week 1 against CIN: 56 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 2 against CLE: 58 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 38 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 56 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 4 against GB: 60 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 37 yards.

Through Week 4, Jake Ferguson played 69 percent of DAL snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 1 against NYG: 44 of 58 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 2 against WAS: 33 of 55 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Jake Ferguson, Week 3 against BAL: 51 of 74 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Cade Otton played 16 games for TB and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing TE22.

He caught 59 of 81 targets for 572 yards and 1 touchdown, with 5 red zone targets and 261 air yards.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Cade Otton over AJ Barner.
• Start Brenton Strange over Cade Otton.
• Start Brock Bowers over Cade Otton.
• Start Jake Ferguson over AJ Barner.
• Start Brenton Strange over Jake Ferguson.
• Start Jake Ferguson over Colston Loveland.