Start Jake Ferguson or AJ Barner? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Jake Ferguson over AJ Barner

- Market projects
- 8.3
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 69%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 10%
- Through Week 4

- Market projects
- 6.7
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 87%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 13%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Jake Ferguson over AJ Barner in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Jake Ferguson at 8.3 points and AJ Barner at 6.7, a gap of 1.6.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 6.7 fantasy points for AJ Barner, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
The market has AJ Barner at 23.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (14, 15 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
The market has Jake Ferguson at 26.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 31% chance to score a touchdown (16, 13 and 16 market sources).
That puts Jake Ferguson 1.6 points ahead of AJ Barner on the market projections.
Injury status
AJ Barner is not on the injury report.
Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, AJ Barner played 87 percent of SEA snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 4 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.
AJ Barner, Week 1 against NE: 44 of 50 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.
AJ Barner, Week 2 against ARI: 56 of 70 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1 touchdown.
AJ Barner, Week 3 against WAS: 61 of 67 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 69 yards.
AJ Barner, Week 4 against LAC: 54 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards.
Through Week 4, Jake Ferguson played 69 percent of DAL snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.
Jake Ferguson, Week 1 against NYG: 44 of 58 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.
Jake Ferguson, Week 2 against WAS: 33 of 55 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Jake Ferguson, Week 3 against BAL: 51 of 74 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.
Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, AJ Barner played 17 games for SEA and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.
He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 248 air yards.
He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.
He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE18 · DAL · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 2-3
- Overall rank
- 116
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
TE24 · SEA · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 143
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board27
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 6 and tier 7
- Board size258 draftable players
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