Start Cade Otton or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Cade Otton over Brian Thomas Jr.
Wrong: 7.7 to 9.7
- Market projected
- 7.3
- pre-game
- Scored
- 7.7
- PPR pts

- Market projected
- 7.0
- pre-game
- Scored
- 9.7
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Cade Otton over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Cade Otton at 7.3 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 7.0, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 7.3 fantasy points for Cade Otton, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market gives Cade Otton a 21% chance to score a touchdown (3 market sources).
Player markets imply 7.0 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market gives Brian Thomas Jr. a 22% chance to score a touchdown (12 market sources).
That puts Cade Otton 0.3 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on the market projections.
Injury status
Cade Otton was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Brian Thomas Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
How Week 4 went
Cade Otton scored 7.7 PPR points and Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.7.
The call was wrong: Brian Thomas Jr. outscored Cade Otton by 2.0.
Cade Otton finished 0.4 points above the 7.3 the market projected.
Brian Thomas Jr. finished 2.7 points above the 7.0 the market projected.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE20 · TB · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 0-4
- Overall rank
- 117
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
WR49 · JAX · bye 7
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 133
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 18
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board16
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 6 and tier 18
- Board size255 draftable players
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