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Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Darnell Mooney? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Darnell Mooney

Right: 9.7 to 0.0
Start

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · final

Market projected
6.4
pre-game
Scored
9.7
PPR pts
Sit

Darnell Mooney

WR · final

Market projected
6.2
pre-game
Snap share
55%
Week 4
Target share
7%
Week 4
Scored
0.0
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Darnell Mooney in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 6.4 points and Darnell Mooney at 6.2, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.4 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market gives Brian Thomas Jr. a 22% chance to score a touchdown (9 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.2 fantasy points for Darnell Mooney, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market gives Darnell Mooney a 17% chance to score a touchdown (3 market sources).

That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 0.2 points ahead of Darnell Mooney on the market projections.

Injury status

Brian Thomas Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Darnell Mooney was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Darnell Mooney played 57 percent of NYG snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Darnell Mooney, Week 1 against DAL: 39 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 27 yards.

Darnell Mooney, Week 2 against LAR: 42 of 58 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 48 yards.

Darnell Mooney, Week 3 against TEN: 28 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 9 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Darnell Mooney played 15 games for ATL and scored 82.3 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR79.

He caught 32 of 72 targets for 443 yards and 1 touchdown, with 7 red zone targets and 370 air yards.

He was on the field for 82 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.7 PPR points and Darnell Mooney scored 0.0.

The call was right: Brian Thomas Jr. outscored Darnell Mooney by 9.7.

Brian Thomas Jr. finished 3.3 points above the 6.4 the market projected.

Darnell Mooney finished 6.2 points below the 6.2 the market projected.

Darnell Mooney, Week 4 against ARI: 37 of 67 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR48 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
131
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
15

Ranked behind

WR64 · NYG · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-4

Overall rank
161
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
17

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board30
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 15 and tier 17
  • Board size243 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

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