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Start Chris Godwin Jr. or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Chris Godwin Jr.

Right: 9.7 to 9.1
Start

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · final

Market projected
7.0
pre-game
Scored
9.7
PPR pts
Sit

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR · TB · vs GB · final

Market projected
6.6
pre-game
GB D vs WR
32.8
16th most to WRs (2026)
Scored
9.1
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Chris Godwin Jr. in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 7.0 points and Chris Godwin Jr. at 6.6, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.1 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market gives Brian Thomas Jr. a 23% chance to score a touchdown (11 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Chris Godwin Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 0.4 points ahead of Chris Godwin Jr. on the market projections.

Week 4 matchups

Chris Godwin Jr. and TB host GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 32.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 139 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against GB.

Injury status

Brian Thomas Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Chris Godwin Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.

He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.

He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 53 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 41 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 8.0 PPR points.

How Week 4 went

Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.7 PPR points and Chris Godwin Jr. scored 9.1.

The call was right: Brian Thomas Jr. outscored Chris Godwin Jr. by 0.6.

Brian Thomas Jr. finished 2.6 points above the 7.1 the market projected.

Chris Godwin Jr. finished 2.5 points above the 6.6 the market projected.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 4 against GB: 56 of 64 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 31 yards, 9.1 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr. finished as the week's WR48 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR41 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 0-4

Overall rank
104
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
15

Ranked behind

WR54 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
143
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
16

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board39
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 15 and tier 16
  • Board size248 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

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