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Start Brian Thomas Jr. or DeMario Douglas? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over DeMario Douglas

Right: 9.7 to 3.5
Start

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · final

Market projected
7.0
pre-game
Scored
9.7
PPR pts
Sit

DeMario Douglas

WR · final

Market projected
6.9
pre-game
Snap share
46%
Week 4
Target share
8%
Week 4
Scored
3.5
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over DeMario Douglas in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 7.0 points and DeMario Douglas at 6.9, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.0 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market gives Brian Thomas Jr. a 22% chance to score a touchdown (12 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.9 fantasy points for DeMario Douglas, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has DeMario Douglas at 27.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 20% chance to score a touchdown (8, 7 and 13 market sources).

That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 0.1 points ahead of DeMario Douglas on the market projections.

Injury status

Brian Thomas Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

DeMario Douglas was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, DeMario Douglas played 57 percent of NE snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

DeMario Douglas, Week 1 against SEA: 44 of 71 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 20 yards.

DeMario Douglas, Week 2 against PIT: 26 of 55 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

DeMario Douglas, Week 3 against JAX: 37 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 38 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, DeMario Douglas played 17 games for NE and scored 95.8 PPR points, 5.6 a game, finishing WR65.

He caught 31 of 46 targets for 447 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 233 air yards.

He was on the field for 26 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.7 PPR points and DeMario Douglas scored 3.5.

The call was right: Brian Thomas Jr. outscored DeMario Douglas by 6.2.

Brian Thomas Jr. finished 2.7 points above the 7.0 the market projected.

DeMario Douglas finished 3.4 points below the 6.9 the market projected.

DeMario Douglas, Week 4 against BUF: 35 of 76 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards, 3.5 PPR points.

DeMario Douglas finished as the week's WR80 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR40 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
109
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
15

Ranked behind

WR · NE · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-4

Overall rank
not on the board
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
not tiered

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the boardone of them is not on the board
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersnot tiered
  • Board size203 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board