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Start Denzel Boston or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Denzel Boston over Brian Thomas Jr.

Right: 12.9 to 9.7
Start

Denzel Boston

WR · final

Market projected
7.7
pre-game
Snap share
95%
Week 4
Target share
21%
Week 4
Scored
12.9
PPR pts
Sit

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · final

Market projected
7.0
pre-game
Scored
9.7
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start Denzel Boston over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Denzel Boston at 7.7 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 7.0, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.7 fantasy points for Denzel Boston, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Denzel Boston at 35.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 22% chance to score a touchdown (13, 15 and 16 market sources).

Player markets imply 7.0 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market gives Brian Thomas Jr. a 23% chance to score a touchdown (10 market sources).

That puts Denzel Boston 0.8 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on the market projections.

Injury status

Denzel Boston was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Brian Thomas Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Denzel Boston played 91 percent of CLE snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 44 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Denzel Boston, Week 1 against JAX: 47 of 51 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 59 yards, 1 touchdown.

Denzel Boston, Week 2 against TB: 54 of 58 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 95 yards, 1 touchdown.

Denzel Boston, Week 3 against CAR: 62 of 70 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 41 yards.

How Week 4 went

Denzel Boston scored 12.9 PPR points and Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.7.

The call was right: Denzel Boston outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by 3.2.

Denzel Boston finished 5.2 points above the 7.7 the market projected.

Denzel Boston, Week 4 against PIT: 61 of 64 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 89 yards, 12.9 PPR points.

Denzel Boston finished as the week's WR30 in PPR scoring.

Brian Thomas Jr. finished 2.7 points above the 7.0 the market projected.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR26 · CLE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Overall rank
61
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
14

Ranked behind

WR48 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
129
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
17

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board68
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 14 and tier 17
  • Board size221 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board