Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Justice Hill? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill

- Market projects
- 6.6
- fantasy pts

- Market projects
- 3.4
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 41%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 6%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 6.6 points and Justice Hill at 3.4, a gap of 3.3. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 26.5 rushing yards, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (10 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 3.4 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 80 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Justice Hill at 11.5 rushing yards, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (14 and 14 market sources).
That puts Chris Rodriguez Jr. 3.3 points ahead of Justice Hill on the market projections.
Injury status
Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not on the injury report.
Justice Hill is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Justice Hill played 41 percent of BAL snaps, took 11 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Justice Hill, Week 1 against IND: 31 of 68 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 2 against NO: 27 of 58 snaps, 2 carries for 6 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 5 carries for 33 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.
He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB37 · JAX · bye 7
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 135
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
RB47 · BAL · bye unlisted
2026 vs rush yds line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 171
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board36
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 10 and tier 12
- Board size223 draftable players
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