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Start Justice Hill or Isaiah Davis? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Justice Hill over Isaiah Davis

Market projects
3.4
fantasy pts
Snap share
41%
Through Week 4
Target share
6%
Through Week 4
Market projects
3.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
6%
Through Week 4
Target share
0%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Justice Hill over Isaiah Davis in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Justice Hill at 3.4 points and Isaiah Davis at 3.2, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.2 fantasy points for Isaiah Davis, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Isaiah Davis at 10.5 rushing yards, with a 16% chance to score a touchdown (13 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.4 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 80 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Justice Hill at 11.5 rushing yards, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (11 and 14 market sources).

That puts Justice Hill 0.2 points ahead of Isaiah Davis on the market projections.

Injury status

Isaiah Davis is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Isaiah Davis played 6 percent of NYJ snaps, took 0 percent of the carries, drew 0 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Davis, Week 4 against CHI: 2 of 32 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 4, Justice Hill played 41 percent of BAL snaps, took 11 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 1 against IND: 31 of 68 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 2 against NO: 27 of 58 snaps, 2 carries for 6 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 5 carries for 33 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Isaiah Davis played 16 games for NYJ and scored 71.2 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing RB59.

He ran 43 times for 236 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 21 of 28 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Isaiah Davis, Week 17 of 2025 against NE: 8 of 61 snaps, 3 carries for 11 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards, 3.0 PPR points.

Isaiah Davis, Week 16 of 2025 against NO: 24 of 66 snaps, 3 carries for 8 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 52 yards, 10.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB48 · BAL · bye unlisted

2026 vs rush yds line 2-2

Overall rank
171
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

RB49 · NYJ · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-4

Overall rank
174
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 10
  • Board size224 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board