Start Chase Brown or Justice Hill? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Chase Brown over Justice Hill in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Chase Brown at 18.4 points and Justice Hill at 3.4, a gap of 15.0. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Chase Brown is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Chase Brown at 67.5 rushing yards, with a 58% chance to score a touchdown (10 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.4 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 80 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Justice Hill at 11.5 rushing yards, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (11 and 14 market sources).

That puts Chase Brown 15.0 points ahead of Justice Hill on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Injury status

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Chase Brown played 73 percent of CIN snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 26 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.

Through Week 4, Justice Hill played 41 percent of BAL snaps, took 11 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 1 against IND: 31 of 68 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 2 against NO: 27 of 58 snaps, 2 carries for 6 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 5 carries for 33 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Chase Brown.
• Start Chase Brown over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Bijan Robinson over Chase Brown.
• Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill.
• Start George Holani over Justice Hill.
• Start Justice Hill over Isaiah Davis.